Sunday, November 02, 2008

As Decision2008 Comes Around The Final Corner....



I pulled this off from Gallup.com right now,

These are the stats on the race as of early Monday morning

Election 2008

Democrats Lead Big on Generic Ballot

Double-digit lead among likely voters is biggest since 1980

November 2, 2008
Gallup’s final pre-election allocated estimate of the national 2008 vote for Congress gives the Democrats a 12 percentage-point lead over the Republicans among traditional likely voters, 53% to 41%.More ...

Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%

Independents break for Obama, boosting Obama’s broad Democratic base

November 2, 2008
As the 2008 presidential campaign draws to an end, the final USA Today/Gallup pre-election poll shows Barack Obama with a 55% to 44% advantage over John McCain in the allocated estimate of the 2008 presidential vote.More ...

Gallup Daily: Obama Continues to Outpace McCain

Holds 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

November 2, 2008
Barack Obama leads John McCain by eight percentage points among “traditional likely voters,” 51% to 43%, with 5% undecided. His lead stretches to nine points among “expanded likely voters” and a theoretical 11 points among all eligible voters.More ...

Life Satisfaction Predicts Voter Preferences

Satisfied Republicans Prefer McCain; Optimistic Democrats Prefer Obama

November 1, 2008
Republicans who are more satisfied with their current lives more strongly prefer McCain in the presidential election. The preferences of Democrats have more to do with their expectations about their future lives. Those who expect to be more satisfied in the future more strongly prefer Obama.More ...

Gallup Daily: Obama 52%, McCain 42% Among Likely Voters

Largest lead for Obama among likely voters to date

November 1, 2008
Barack Obama leads John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday by a 52% to 42% margin in both of Gallup’s likely voter models. Obama leads by a similar 52% to 41% margin among all registered voters.More ...

Blacks Appear Poised for High Turnout

Constitute 11% of both of Gallup's likely voter groups, up from 8% in 2004

October 31, 2008
Blacks constitute a higher percentage of Gallup’s projected likely voter pool than in previous elections, based on increased thought given to the election and greater self-reported likelihood of voting. They are also far more likely to report having been contacted by Obama’s campaign than by McCain’s.More ...

Update: Little Evidence of Surge in Youth Vote

Obama campaign has contacted about one in three 18- to 29-year-olds

October 31, 2008
Gallup continues to find scant evidence to suggest a surge in young voter turnout compared to other age groups or to the 2004 election. Twice as many 18- to 29-year-olds report that the Obama campaign has contacted them in recent weeks (31%) as report that the McCain campaign has done so (16%).More ...

Obama Retains Slight Edge Over McCain on Taxes

Americans still more likely to say Obama will increase taxes

October 31, 2008
After two consecutive weeks of a tit-for-tat over tax policy between John McCain and Barack Obama, Americans continue to favor Obama over McCain on taxes, but Obama’s edge is only 6 percentage points, smaller than it was in mid-October.More ...

Gallup Daily: Obama’s Lead Widens Some on All Bases

Advances to 8-point lead among “traditional likely voters”

October 31, 2008
Barack Obama holds an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among “traditional likely voters” -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model. He leads by nine points among “expanded likely voters.”

Labels: , ,

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home